Leave buying a canoe, or a share in one, until later. That asset carries the most resource risk and the least control in the chain. Start by selling information or handling, neither of which needs much capital: spend a season recording daily landings, sizes and beach prices at one site and you will hold a record that processors, lenders and the ministry lack. Fish supply is allocated through credit relationships between traders and canoe owners that take a season to enter. What you leave with is the relationship and the data, the basis for later aggregation or processing business.
Secure the offtake before the fish: sign a buyer for a graded, consistent product before committing to handling or processing capacity, since the scarce thing is a customer who pays for quality. Build backwards to supply, contracting across several landing sites, and size the facility for the worst recent year. The trap this sector punishes hardest is capacity built against an average landing figure from a 2016 or 2019 report.
The thesis is value per tonne: the resource has a ceiling and the volume line sits outside management's control. Require any tuna investment to produce its live-bait catch data and bait cost trend, and treat an inability to produce them as a finding, since the bait includes juvenile round sardinella, a species rated overexploited in the 2022 regional assessment. Require every volume assumption to state its base year, and discount any market sizing resting on the 2016 frame survey or the 2019 assessment. Release capital against verified throughput and a signed offtake.
The binding constraint on the resource side is measurement. Publishing the full 2022 marine canoe frame survey, repeating it every three years and publishing a monthly landing-beach price series would cost a fraction of any enterprise-support programme and would give lenders verified volumes to plan against. This sector has repeatedly funded landing infrastructure ahead of the data to site it: of nine landing sites planned under the World Bank’s West Africa Regional Fisheries Program, one was built, at Anloga.16 Public money should buy the evidence base that lets private capital price the risk.
Leave buying a canoe, or a share in one, until later. That asset carries the most resource risk and the least control in the chain. Start by selling information or handling, neither of which needs much capital: spend a season recording daily landings, sizes and beach prices at one site and you will hold a record that processors, lenders and the ministry lack. Fish supply is allocated through credit relationships between traders and canoe owners that take a season to enter. What you leave with is the relationship and the data, the basis for later aggregation or processing business.
Secure the offtake before the fish: sign a buyer for a graded, consistent product before committing to handling or processing capacity, since the scarce thing is a customer who pays for quality. Build backwards to supply, contracting across several landing sites, and size the facility for the worst recent year. The trap this sector punishes hardest is capacity built against an average landing figure from a 2016 or 2019 report.
The thesis is value per tonne: the resource has a ceiling and the volume line sits outside management's control. Require any tuna investment to produce its live-bait catch data and bait cost trend, and treat an inability to produce them as a finding, since the bait includes juvenile round sardinella, a species rated overexploited in the 2022 regional assessment. Require every volume assumption to state its base year, and discount any market sizing resting on the 2016 frame survey or the 2019 assessment. Release capital against verified throughput and a signed offtake.
The binding constraint on the resource side is measurement. Publishing the full 2022 marine canoe frame survey, repeating it every three years and publishing a monthly landing-beach price series would cost a fraction of any enterprise-support programme and would give lenders verified volumes to plan against. This sector has repeatedly funded landing infrastructure ahead of the data to site it: of nine landing sites planned under the World Bank’s West Africa Regional Fisheries Program, one was built, at Anloga.16 Public money should buy the evidence base that lets private capital price the risk.